# Deviate — Live Prediction Market Alerts > Sports prediction market scanner and alert system for identifying mispricings. (iPhone/iPad app by Tanay Mishra.) - Source: https://appshunter.io/ios/app/deviate/id6788213405 (this page in markdown: same URL + `.md`) - Developer: [Tanay Mishra](https://appshunter.io/developer/6788213407) - Category: Finance, Sports - Price: Free with in-app purchases - Rating: 5.00/5 from 2 App Store ratings · 1 written reviews indexed - Age rating: 17+ - Requires: iOS 15.1 · 31 MB - Languages: American English - Released: 2026-07-30 - Data updated: 2026-08-27 - Monetization: subscription - User reviews in markdown: https://appshunter.io/ios/app/deviate/id6788213405/reviews.md ## What is Deviate? Gone are the days of spending tons of time searching through prediction markets for small mispricings or opportunities. You now have Deviate. Deviate is a handheld model that scans sports prediction markets 24/7 and notifies you whenever there is edge in a game, series, or event. It computes probability from historical game data, compares it against what prediction markets are pricing right now, and alerts you when the two pull apart to help you identify positive expected value opportunities. HOW IT WORKS The model reads the game state: score, server, inning, possession, time remaining. Every state maps to a win probability computed from historical outcomes in comparable situations. Market prices update continuously. So does the model. When the gap passes the threshold you set, you get a notification. You get both numbers, the size of the gap, and a plain-English explanation of why it fired. What you do with it is your call. WHY THE TWO NUMBERS DISAGREE Markets price things a raw historical lookup doesn't. If a favorite drops a set, the price already reflects that this is a favorite. That's why some "the numbers say" content is quietly wrong. Deviate's models are state-conditional and validated against real outcomes before they ship. The baseball model runs on decades of play-by-play data. Each one is checked against empirical frequencies. WHAT'S IN THE APP The edge page shows every alert that's currently open, with the model number, the market number, and the reasoning behind it. Live shows every market Deviate is tracking, with current prices and volume. History is the full record of every alert that has resolved, wins and losses both. Settings is where you pick your sports, set your minimum edge, and cap how many alerts you're willing to get in a day. In the account section, you can manage your subscription and cancel anytime. PUBLIC TRACK RECORD Every alert is timestamped when it's sent, not scored after the fact. Wins and losses. You can open the history and read the whole thing before you pay for anything. BUILT TO BE USEFUL Deviate is a pager, not a feed. Pick your sports, set your minimum edge, cap your alerts per day, and close the app. It only alerts you when something is actually there. PRICING Two weeks free, then $9.99/month. Cancel any time in your Apple ID settings. DISCLAIMER Deviate is not affiliated with or endorsed by any exchange. Deviate does not facilitate or allow any type of event-based trading on its platform. Deviate does not provide any outstanding recommendations or absolute suggestions for event-based contracts. The app simply displays mispricings based on an in-house built model. All trading occurs on third-party platforms if the user decides to trade based on model-provided analytics. Trading event contracts involve the risk of loss. Past performances do not indicate future results. Terms of Use (EULA): https://www.apple.com/legal/internet-services/itunes/dev/stdeula/ ## Key features - 24/7 market scanning - Real-time notifications - Probability vs. market price comparison - State-conditional win probability - Alert history and performance tracking - Customizable alert settings ## Pricing and in-app purchases Base price: Free. **Subscriptions** | Subscription | Price | Period | | --- | --- | --- | | Deviate Pro Monthly | $9.99 | per month | ## Recent user reviews (1 of 1) All indexed reviews: https://appshunter.io/ios/app/deviate/id6788213405/reviews.md ### 5/5 — Really good app *2026-08-04* Really very well made app which helps you find strong edges in prediction markets. 10/10 recommend for anyone looking for a strong analytical tool for predictions markets at a very affordable price. Developer is very knowledgeable and extremely well responsive to requests. ## Frequently asked questions about Deviate ### What is Deviate? Deviate is a finance app that scans sports prediction markets 24/7 to identify potential mispricings and opportunities. It alerts users when its probability model differs significantly from market prices. ### How does Deviate work? Deviate computes win probabilities based on historical game data for specific game states. It then compares these probabilities to current market prices and notifies users when the gap exceeds a set threshold. ### What kind of alerts does Deviate provide? Deviate provides alerts for games, series, or events where its model identifies a significant difference between computed probability and market pricing. It also offers a plain-English explanation for why an alert fired. ### Can I see Deviate's track record? Yes, Deviate offers a public track record where every alert is timestamped and includes wins and losses. Users can review the full history of resolved alerts before subscribing. ### What sports does Deviate support? Users can select their preferred sports within the app's settings. The app's models are validated against real outcomes, with the baseball model using decades of play-by-play data. ### How much does Deviate cost? Deviate offers a one-week free trial, after which it costs $9.99 per month. Subscriptions can be canceled at any time through Apple ID settings. ### Is Deviate affiliated with any exchanges? No, Deviate is not affiliated with or endorsed by any exchange. It does not facilitate or allow event-based trading on its platform but displays mispricings based on its in-house model. ### Does Deviate have ads? No, Deviate does not contain advertisements. The app is designed to be a pager, only alerting users when a significant opportunity is detected. ## Version history (last 2 releases) ### 1.1.0 — 2026-08-04 We updated the app to make it smoother and easier to use! Here is what is new: - Share alert cards with friends - Expanded features for non-subscribers - Performance improvements and bug fixes ### 1.0.0 — 2026-07-31 No release notes. ## More apps by Tanay Mishra - [Velocity Dash](https://appshunter.io/ios/app/velocity-dash/id6790937229) All apps by Tanay Mishra: https://appshunter.io/developer/6788213407 --- *Data collected daily from the US App Store and indexed by [AppsHunter](https://appshunter.io/). User reviews are verbatim App Store reviews. Ratings, prices and chart positions refresh continuously; this snapshot is from 2026-08-27.*