# Manifold Markets — A market for every question

> Predict and trade on future events using play-money. (iPhone/iPad app by Manifold Markets, Inc..)

- Source: https://appshunter.io/ios/app/manifold-markets/id6444136749 (this page in markdown: same URL + `.md`)
- Developer: [Manifold Markets, Inc.](https://appshunter.io/developer/1652572425)
- Category: News, Social Networking
- Price: Free with in-app purchases
- Rating: 4.50/5 from 139 App Store ratings · 35 written reviews indexed
- Age rating: +17
- Requires: iOS 15.1 · 27 MB
- Languages: American English
- Released: 2022-11-20
- Data updated: 2026-08-31
- Monetization: free with in-app purchases
- User reviews in markdown: https://appshunter.io/ios/app/manifold-markets/id6444136749/reviews.md

## What is Manifold Markets?

Manifold is the largest social prediction market. Bet with play-money on what happens next — in politics, sports, science, tech, AI, pop culture, and your own life — and find out how well you really know the world.

Every market is a question with a probability attached, set by thousands of traders putting their (play) money where their mouth is. Think the crowd is wrong? Trade against it and profit when you're right.

WHAT YOU CAN DO
• Trade on thousands of live markets, from elections and championships to "will my friend finish their novel this year"
• Create your own market on anything in seconds and let the world weigh in
• Compete on leaderboards, climb the league ladder, and keep your daily streak alive
• Follow friends, comment on markets, and argue about the odds
• Get notified when markets you care about move or resolve
• Track your portfolio, profit, and forecasting accuracy over time

WHY PREDICTION MARKETS?
Prices are probabilities, so a market at 70% means traders collectively think there's a 70% chance the event happens. Manifold's forecasts have called elections, sports, and world events with striking accuracy — and you can be part of the signal.

WHO IT'S FOR
Forecasters, sports fans, politics junkies, news addicts, superforecasters-in-training, and anyone who's ever said "I bet…" and wanted to back it up.

FREE TO PLAY
Manifold runs entirely on mana, a play-money currency. You start with a free balance and earn more by trading well, creating popular markets, and logging in daily. Mana has no cash value and cannot be withdrawn or exchanged for real money. No gambling, no purchase necessary to play.

Join a community of forecasters who take being right seriously — and have fun doing it.

## Key features

- Accurate forecasts
- Trade on forecasts
- Earn play-money
- Ask prediction questions
- Social forecasting
- Future prediction

## Pricing and in-app purchases

Base price: Free.

**One-time purchases**

| Purchase | Price | Type |
| --- | --- | --- |
| 2,500 Mana | $35.99 | one-time |
| 10,000 Mana | $142.99 | one-time |
| 1,000 Mana | $14.99 | one-time |


## Recent user reviews (10 of 35)

All indexed reviews: https://appshunter.io/ios/app/manifold-markets/id6444136749/reviews.md

### 5/5 — I love Manifold

*2026-05-25*

Best site ever!

### 5/5 — Social gambling for smart people

*2026-05-01*

It’s a great place to become better informed by the world because reality will slap you down when you’re wrong. And seeing a huge positive price swing on risky prediction bets is quite the thrill, despite no real money/stakes involved, at least for me.

But the best part is the users: more rational, less misinformed and more interesting than the vast majority of social media online.

### 5/5 — A market made for future

*2025-05-17*

You could consider yourself good with numbers, or a new age digital currency expert. However simply being a user of these markets don’t even begin to question what futures you will succeed or fail in.

### 3/5 — Unexpectedly high quality app

*2025-04-23*

Wow. Devs and ux/ui for this app are doing it right (and where they’re not, they are actively updating and fixing). I went in discord to report a bug and got a response in minutes from like 3 devs…like…are you kidding me right now?! Thats insanely awesome. 

As for the actual app idea- prediction markets which use proceeds as donations, one of which is give directly…i mean cmon thats the one of the best app ideas ive ever heard. 

Seriously cheers to yall who make this app a thing. 

P.S. I heard about it through Eliezer Yudkowsky.

P.P.S Nick Bostrom iz cool

Update: donations have been shut off, i am sad :( will increase rating if it resumes again

### 5/5 — Awesome

*2025-02-19, version 1.0.21*

The UI is awesome and it’s pretty fun so far!

### 1/5 — Politically motivated mods ruin fairness

*2024-10-15*

Unfortunately a left-leaning mod liquidated my position on a political market, due to a mistake they made where they gave people too much Sweepcash, but they left all other positions with this same situation active that had politics they agreed on. I would recommend Polymarket where markets are not being artificially manipulated based off mods’ political preference. Mods are all all over the place with their inconsistent moderation policy, the site is down or slows to a crawl constantly and is overal quite buggy. Dont waste your time.

### 2/5 — Good concept but mediocre community

*2024-10-02*

The concept of the app is cool, and it’s fun for a while. But it’s really just the same handful of markets, and then a bunch of weird uninteresting ones that are basically like “what will I eat for lunch”. The app needs more interesting markets, until then it’s kind of annoying.

### 1/5 — Update Broke App

*2024-09-28, version 1.0.21*

I had 9 markets (2 open) and the most recent update deleted them (shows my current number of questions at zero, and as far as I could see, the markets no longer exist.) The verification feature also does not work and errors out when I attempt to use it. Releasing a broken update like this is unacceptable for any company trying to pivot to working as a real money market.

The error is:
Error: timeout exceeded when trying to connect at Timeout._onTimeout (/usr/src/app/node_modules/pg-pool/index.js:200:27) at listOnTimeout (node:internal/timers:573:17) at process.processTimers (node:internal/timers:514:7)

### 1/5 — Horrible, Glitchy Interface

*2024-09-21*

The layout is very unintuitive and far too busy to find things easily. It’s also quite buggy. Several times I have put time and energy into creating a question, only to have the question vanish into thin air, leaving me frustrated and not wanting to engage with this app.

### 5/5 — I love manifold

*2024-06-28*

The community is the best part here. It’s currently super small. So you get to know people over time.

I have two requests
1. Switching tabs doesn’t send you all the way back to the home page of that tab
2. An easy way to embed my predictions into Obsidian.md

## Frequently asked questions about Manifold Markets

### What does Manifold Markets do?

Manifold Markets provides accurate forecasts on a wide variety of topics. Users can engage with these forecasts by trading on them using play-money. If your predictions are correct, you can earn play-money.

### How can I use Manifold Markets?

You can use the app to explore your curiosities by asking questions about anything you're interested in and creating forecasts. You can also trade on existing forecasts and compete with friends to predict the future.

### Is Manifold Markets free to use?

The app is free to download and use, offering play-money for trading and forecasting. It also includes in-app purchases and advertisements.

### What kind of forecasts can I find on Manifold Markets?

You can find accurate forecasts on a broad spectrum of topics. The platform allows users to ask questions about anything they are curious about, leading to a diverse range of potential predictions and market events.

## Version history (last 5 releases)

### 2.1.0 — 2026-08-31

Streak widgets are here.

• Add Manifold to your home screen to see your streak at a glance
• Lock screen widgets too — circular, rectangular and inline
• A live countdown to the daily deadline, so you never lose a streak by accident
• See your remaining streak freezes and your daily quests
• Meet Mani, who reacts to how your streak is going

Also in this update:
• Fixed a sign-in issue that could leave you stuck on the login screen
• Identity verification now works better in the app

### 1.0.26 — 2025-10-14

Squashing bugs and making everything faster!

### 1.0.25 — 2025-08-06

Squashing bugs and making everything faster!

### 1.0.24 — 2025-07-25

Various improvements and bugfixes.

### 1.0.23 — 2025-07-24

Various improvements and bugfixes.

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## Related topics

[manifold markets](https://appshunter.io/ios/topics/manifold-markets) · [manifold](https://appshunter.io/ios/topics/manifold)

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*Data collected daily from the US App Store and indexed by [AppsHunter](https://appshunter.io/). User reviews are verbatim App Store reviews. Ratings, prices and chart positions refresh continuously; this snapshot is from 2026-08-31.*