# Poke Probability — Hand and match probabilities

> Hand and match probabilities (iPhone/iPad app by HIRONOBU SAKUMA.)

- Source: https://appshunter.io/ios/app/poke-probability/id6818709580 (this page in markdown: same URL + `.md`)
- Developer: [HIRONOBU SAKUMA](https://appshunter.io/developer/6818128781)
- Category: Utilities
- Price: Free
- Age rating: 4+
- Requires: iOS 17.0 · 4 MB
- Languages: American English, French (France), German (Germany), Italian, Japanese, Korean, Brazilian Portuguese, Chinese (Simplified, China), European Spanish, Chinese (Traditional, Taiwan)
- Released: 2026-10-08
- Data updated: 2026-10-09

## What is Poke Probability?

Explore card draw odds, supported first-turn sequences and historical tournament scenarios, with clear assumptions and local calculations.

Hand odds
Calculated from combinations, sampling without replacement. Playability, effects, search targets and prize cards are excluded. Limits: deck 1–100 cards, 30 cards drawn in total, 12 conditions. A minimum above the number of copies has probability 0%.
When enabled, only opening hands with at least one Basic Pokémon are considered. A Basic drawn later does not make the opening hand valid.
Each row is a distinct card category. Do not enter the same card in multiple rows.
Combination-based calculations use floating-point arithmetic. Percentages are rounded for display, so a very small nonzero probability may appear as 0.00%.

Swiss rounds
Binomial approximation assuming independent matches with the same metagame and win rate each time. Real Swiss pairings change with results. Draws, byes, opponent tiebreakers and qualification by ranking are excluded. Limits: 0–100 rounds and 30 opponent decks.

Use your region’s decimal separator, without digit grouping. Your input is retained when you change languages.

Privacy policy
Card names, deck names and numeric settings are saved on your device. They are not sent to the developer or stored on a server. There are no ads, analytics or tracking. No login or personal information is required.
Edit values or delete rows to change your data. Deleting the app removes its local data. Device backups follow Apple’s settings and policies.

Advanced calculations (version 1.1)
The 60-card fixed-policy mode computes exact draw allocations within its supported model. Effect resolution and flexible board/hand goals use Monte Carlo estimates with sampling uncertainty, not optimal-play probabilities. Unsupported rules, evolution, retreat, switching and opposing disruption are excluded. Random seeds vary by run; a fixed seed reproduces a run only with the same inputs and policy version.

Language and card scope
Official deck import and bundled card attributes/effects use Japanese card information. Card names remain in their source language. English UI does not add overseas card matching or guarantee regional legality. Text import and manual classifications require you to verify each card and supported effect.

Tournament simulation
Historical in-person Masters events are bundled from Limitless Labs. Each source has its own dates and card pool; changing language or region does not change the data. Simulations model Swiss pairings and top cut approximately. Missing matchups use explicit assumptions. Mixed or unverified conditions require opt-in. This does not reproduce all official rules or predict qualification. Monte Carlo error excludes uncertainty in the source data.

Optional network access
Only when you request an official deck import does the app send the entered deck code to Japan’s pokemon-card.com website; the site receives normal connection information such as your IP address. External support/privacy pages use GitHub services. No camera, photo library, location, contacts, microphone or notification permission is requested.

Unofficial tool; not affiliated with The Pokémon Company, Nintendo, Creatures or GAME FREAK.

## Is Poke Probability safe?

Not enough ratings yet to assess Poke Probability.

## Is Poke Probability legit?

Poke Probability has limited verification signals. The AppsHunter Legitimacy Score for Poke Probability is 50 out of 100 points across 7 verification signals from App Store and developer data.


## Version history (last 2 releases)

### 1.1 — 2026-10-08

Added advanced first-turn calculations, flexible board/hand goals, random or fixed seeds, and historical tournament simulations. English controls and explanations distinguish exact calculations from fixed-policy estimates and explain Japanese-card scope, source data and model limitations.

### 1.0 — 2026-10-08

No release notes.

## More apps by HIRONOBU SAKUMA

- [Pocket Timer TCG](https://appshunter.io/ios/app/pocket-timer-tcg/id6818128779)
- [PicText - Quick Photo Text](https://appshunter.io/ios/app/pictext-quick-photo-text/id6818255144)
- [White Canvas - Photo Borders](https://appshunter.io/ios/app/white-canvas-photo-borders/id6818408010)

All apps by HIRONOBU SAKUMA: https://appshunter.io/developer/6818128781

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*Data collected daily from the US App Store and indexed by [AppsHunter](https://appshunter.io/). User reviews are verbatim App Store reviews. Ratings, prices and chart positions refresh continuously; this snapshot is from 2026-10-09.*