Poke Probability

Explore draw odds, supported first turns and historical tournaments. Hand odds Calculated from combinations, sampling without replacement. Playability, effects, search targets and prize cards are excluded. Limits: deck 1–100 cards, 30 cards drawn in total, 12 conditions. A minimum above the number of copies has probability 0%. When enabled, only opening hands with at least one Basic Pokémon are considered. A Basic drawn later does not make the opening hand valid. Each row is a distinct card category. Do not enter the same card in multiple rows. Combination-based calculations use floating-point arithmetic. Percentages are rounded for display, so a very small nonzero probability may appear as 0.00%. Swiss rounds Binomial approximation assuming independent matches with the same metagame and win rate each time. Real Swiss pairings change with results. Draws, byes, opponent tiebreakers and qualification by ranking are excluded. Limits: 0–100 rounds and 30 opponent decks. Use your region’s decimal separator, without digit grouping. Your input is retained when you change languages. Local data Names and settings remain on your device and are not sent to the developer. Edit or remove rows to change them; deleting the app removes local data. Backups follow Apple’s settings. No login or in-app purchase is required. Advanced calculations (version 1.1) The 60-card fixed-policy mode computes exact draw allocations within its supported model. Effect resolution and flexible board/hand goals use Monte Carlo estimates with sampling uncertainty, not optimal-play probabilities. Unsupported rules, evolution, retreat, switching and opposing disruption are excluded. Random seeds vary by run; a fixed seed reproduces a run only with the same inputs and policy version. Language and card scope Official deck import and bundled card attributes/effects use Japanese card information. Card names remain in their source language. English UI does not add overseas card matching or guarantee regional legality. Text import and manual classifications require you to verify each card and supported effect. Tournament simulation Historical in-person Masters events are bundled from Limitless Labs. Each source has its own dates and card pool; changing language or region does not change the data. Simulations model Swiss pairings and top cut approximately. Missing matchups use explicit assumptions. Mixed or unverified conditions require opt-in. This does not reproduce all official rules or predict qualification. Monte Carlo error excludes uncertainty in the source data. Optional network access When you request an official deck import, the app sends the entered deck code to Japan’s pokemon-card.com website; the site receives normal connection information such as your IP address. External support/privacy pages use GitHub services. No camera, photo library, location, contacts, microphone or notification permission is requested. Unofficial tool; not affiliated with The Pokémon Company, Nintendo, Creatures or GAME FREAK. Event data and decklist query Inspect published entrant counts, integer W/L/T, observed win rates, metagame shares and matchup tables. Filter registrations with published decklists by card conditions; missing lists are distinguished from registrations that fail a condition. Card names and catalog counts do not guarantee effect support or regional legality. Advertising and consent Banner ads and consent use Google AdMob and UMP. Google may process approximate location derived from IP address, device/advertising identifiers, ad interactions and diagnostic data for ads, measurement and fraud prevention. ATT permission is resolved before ads initialize. Declining tracking leaves every calculation available and requests nonpersonalized ads; this does not mean no data processing. Ad privacy options appear in App information when required. Card names, deck names and calculation inputs are not sent to the developer or advertising services.