Reckon Football

What do you reckon? A statistical model predicts every match in the English top flight. You predict too. Every gameweek you find out who was smarter. HOW IT WORKS Tuesday, the model publishes its predictions for all ten matches — full probabilities, expected goals, and the most likely scorelines. You make your own calls before kick-off. Predictions lock when the whistle goes. Monday morning, you find out how you did. YOUR CALL OF THE WEEK One match a gameweek counts double. Pick it before kick-off and you cannot move it once that match starts. The model gets one too — its most confident fixture — so the comparison stays fair. A MODEL THAT SHOWS ITS WORKING Most prediction apps tell you who will win. This one tells you how confident it is, and then publishes whether it was right. Every gameweek. Including the bad ones. The model is a Dixon-Coles bivariate Poisson fitted on fifteen years of results, blended with an independent rating system. In the first weeks of a season it says so, and widens its uncertainty, because it has barely any current data to go on. FREE FOREVER Predict every match. See the model's pick and confidence. Track your score against it. Global leaderboard. PREMIUM Full probability breakdowns. The scoreline heatmap. Expected goals, both teams to score, clean sheets. Complete accuracy history and reliability charts. Monthly £2.49 · Annual £14.99 with a 14-day free trial. Subscriptions renew automatically unless cancelled at least 24 hours before the period ends. Payment is charged to your Apple ID. Manage or cancel in your Apple ID settings. Terms: https://reckon.reckonapp.workers.dev/terms Privacy: https://reckon.reckonapp.workers.dev/privacy Not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to the Premier League, the Football Association, or any football club. Predictions are statistical estimates, not advice, and should not be used for betting purposes.