Election Tracker vs Rebellion Research

Every published US poll, grouped by race and averaged by a method short enough to print. Senate, House, governor and 2028 primary polls; presidential approval as a 7-day average with a one-year chart; prediction-market sentiment labelled as exactly that. No account, no feed, no editorial — and the source named on every screen. POLLS, GROUPED BY RACE Senate races, the generic congressional ballot and every polled House district, governor races and the 2028 presidential primaries. Each race is one line — who leads, by how much, how recently polled — that opens to its average, its trend and its polls. Every poll shows its pollster, sample size, population (likely voters, registered voters, adults) and field dates, and partisan-sponsored polls are labelled. Order races by most polled, closest, latest or A–Z. AN AVERAGE THAT SHOWS ITS WORK Each race gets a 30-day polling average with a plain method: a pollster's same-day versions collapsed to one (the one about the current matchup, then likely voters first), linear recency weighting, and a minimum number of appearances before a candidate is included. A race polled only every few weeks averages its five newest polls instead, with the dates on the card. Races with enough polling over enough time also get a trend line drawn to scale. The whole method is one tap away. PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL Approve, disapprove and the net number as a 7-day average with each pollster counted once — so one pollster's loud week does not move the headline — with a 30-day, 90-day or one-year chart and the individual polls underneath. Drawn from VoteHub, or from the polls The New York Times collects whenever VoteHub falls behind; the screen says which. The other major averages sit beside it, and beside the generic ballot, for comparison. PIN THE RACES YOU FOLLOW Star a race and it stays open at the top of its tab. Find any race by state, district or candidate. Share any average as text, with its poll count and dates. NEW SINCE YOUR LAST VISIT New polls are counted at the top of each list and marked on their race and on the poll itself, so a quick look shows what changed. PREDICTION MARKET SENTIMENT Current Polymarket prices for the races people are watching, with 24-hour moves on the leading outcomes and a filter by race type. Market prices are trader sentiment, not forecasts, and the app says so on the screen. Election Tracker does not take wagers, hold funds, or facilitate any transaction. BUILT TO BE READ QUICKLY A countdown to election day that becomes links to find your polling place and follow official results on election night. Light and dark themes that follow your device. Every screen labels how fresh its data is. WORKS WHEN THE SIGNAL DOESN'T The last good response for every screen stays on your device, so offline you see the most recent numbers you had, clearly marked, instead of a spinner. ELECTION REMINDERS Optional local reminders at 30 days, a week and a day out, on election morning, and as polls close. They are scheduled on your device; nothing is sent to a server. IN YOUR LANGUAGE The app speaks English, Spanish, Chinese (Simplified and Traditional), Vietnamese, Korean, Arabic, French, Portuguese and Russian, following your iPhone's language. NO ACCOUNT, NO SIGN-UP There is nothing to log into. No profile, no tracking of what you read, no newsletter. FREE, WITH A WAY TO TURN THE ADS OFF Election Tracker shows a banner and full-screen ads. A single one-time purchase in Settings removes every ad, forever — not a subscription, and nothing in the app is gated behind an ad or a purchase. WHERE THE NUMBERS COME FROM Polls from VoteHub; approval and the generic ballot from VoteHub, or from the polls The New York Times collects when VoteHub falls behind; other averages from Wikipedia; market prices from Polymarket. Every screen names its source. This app is for information only. Polling data comes from third parties, reflects the moment it was taken, and does not predict an outcome.

Rebellion Research is a global machine learning think tank, artificial intelligence financial advisor & hedge fund. Brokerage accounts can be opened in over 70 countries and our research coverage spans over 50 countries. We use a proprietary Machine Learning to make global economic assessments with a 14 year history of outperforming the S&P 500.