Numeri vs Danny Baseball

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Vegas has a model; now you have three—or build your own—as Danny Baseball is a quantitative baseball analytics platform that generates custom MLB odds from your own algorithm where you set the weights, you decide what matters, and the app prices every game while putting your number right next to Vegas. Start with three ready-to-go models: v6.13 Balanced, the original baseline with even pillar weights; switch to v7.49 Gameday Heavy for a starter-and-momentum-focused read; or v14.4 Season Stats Heavy to lean into bullpen depth and full-season data—or build a custom algorithm from scratch, name it, and track it all season. Every model runs on three analytical pillars: Pillar I, Team Strength, which uses offense, pitching, and defense ratings built from win percentage, run differential, and park-adjusted performance; Pillar II, Pitching Form, which evaluates starters and bullpens through stabilized metrics that don't overreact to small samples, with early-season outings anchored to historical baselines; and Pillar III, Intangibles, covering what the box score misses such as travel fatigue, rest advantages, venue effects, momentum, and scheduling edges that Vegas quietly prices in. Open the algorithm builder and slide the weights—if your team has a dominant ace, push pitching; if a loaded lineup faces a soft rotation, push offense—and the model reprices instantly for both moneyline and run line, showing your line next to Vegas in real time. Every game gets a Moneyline pick and a Run Line pick, with ML picks graded Elite, Strong, Solid, or Standard alongside full pillar breakdowns and win probability, while RL picks include dedicated margin analysis, cover probability, custom DB odds, and a side-by-side comparison against the Vegas spread, allowing you to toggle between them to see both angles. Your algorithm produces a price, Vegas produces a price, and when the gap is wide you see the edge through custom American odds for every pick across both bet types, with both numbers displayed side by side. Model Performance tracks your record in real time—overall, by confidence tier, and across ML and RL separately—so you can name and track your own custom algorithm all season, and every pick includes a detailed explanation of why the model leans a certain direction, offering full math with no black boxes. Build custom 2-leg and 3-leg parlays directly from the daily board by selecting any combination of Moneyline and Run Line legs across today's slate, with combined odds calculated automatically and model-backed picks highlighted. Danny Baseball tracks each parlay in real time and sends a hedge alert push notification the moment two legs cash and one remains—the signal to lock in profit before the final out. Danny Baseball is for serious baseball fans who want to see the math behind the game, built for users 16+ and is available for iPhone requiring iOS 18.2 or later.