Danny Baseball vs OliveOdds

Vegas has a model; now you have three—or build your own—as Danny Baseball is a quantitative baseball analytics platform that generates custom MLB odds from your own algorithm where you set the weights, you decide what matters, and the app prices every game while putting your number right next to Vegas. Start with three ready-to-go models: v6.13 Balanced, the original baseline with even pillar weights; switch to v7.49 Gameday Heavy for a starter-and-momentum-focused read; or v14.4 Season Stats Heavy to lean into bullpen depth and full-season data—or build a custom algorithm from scratch, name it, and track it all season. Every model runs on three analytical pillars: Pillar I, Team Strength, which uses offense, pitching, and defense ratings built from win percentage, run differential, and park-adjusted performance; Pillar II, Pitching Form, which evaluates starters and bullpens through stabilized metrics that don't overreact to small samples, with early-season outings anchored to historical baselines; and Pillar III, Intangibles, covering what the box score misses such as travel fatigue, rest advantages, venue effects, momentum, and scheduling edges that Vegas quietly prices in. Open the algorithm builder and slide the weights—if your team has a dominant ace, push pitching; if a loaded lineup faces a soft rotation, push offense—and the model reprices instantly for both moneyline and run line, showing your line next to Vegas in real time. Every game gets a Moneyline pick and a Run Line pick, with ML picks graded Elite, Strong, Solid, or Standard alongside full pillar breakdowns and win probability, while RL picks include dedicated margin analysis, cover probability, custom DB odds, and a side-by-side comparison against the Vegas spread, allowing you to toggle between them to see both angles. Your algorithm produces a price, Vegas produces a price, and when the gap is wide you see the edge through custom American odds for every pick across both bet types, with both numbers displayed side by side. Model Performance tracks your record in real time—overall, by confidence tier, and across ML and RL separately—so you can name and track your own custom algorithm all season, and every pick includes a detailed explanation of why the model leans a certain direction, offering full math with no black boxes. Build custom 2-leg and 3-leg parlays directly from the daily board by selecting any combination of Moneyline and Run Line legs across today's slate, with combined odds calculated automatically and model-backed picks highlighted. Danny Baseball tracks each parlay in real time and sends a hedge alert push notification the moment two legs cash and one remains—the signal to lock in profit before the final out. Danny Baseball is for serious baseball fans who want to see the math behind the game, built for users 16+ and is available for iPhone requiring iOS 18.2 or later.

OliveOdds turns statistical models into a clear read on the market. It estimates win probabilities for soccer, NBA, MLB and tennis matches, then compares them against bookmaker-implied odds to surface where the market may be mispricing a result. MATCHES & MARKETS • Soccer: 1X2 result and Over/Under 2.5 goals • NBA: moneyline, handicap and totals • MLB: moneyline, run line and totals • Tennis: match winner and total games (ATP, WTA, Challenger) • Model probability shown side by side with market-implied probability • Fixtures grouped by date and filtered by sport and market • A freshness indicator so you always know how current a model run is BET TRACKER • Log any pick and resolve it as Won, Lost, Returned or Pending • Net P&L and ROI across everything you log • Day-by-day P&L breakdown • Performance analytics by sport, market and odds range • Set your bankroll and see stake suggestions scaled to it OLIVEODDS PRO • Full value analysis: edge percentage and best available odds on each side • Value badges highlighting the largest gaps the model finds • Kelly criterion stake suggestions to help you think about sizing • No ads for as long as any plan is active PLANS • Full Access: every sport and market, monthly or yearly, starting with a 1-week free trial • Single Sport: one sport, billed monthly, cancel anytime • Season Pass: a single payment covering one sport through the end of its season, with nothing to cancel Payment is charged to your Apple Account at confirmation of purchase. Subscriptions renew automatically unless cancelled at least 24 hours before the end of the current period; manage or cancel anytime in your App Store account settings. Season passes are one-time purchases that do not renew. IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER OliveOdds is a sports analytics tool, not a tipster or a betting advice service. We do not advise you to place any bet. Every figure shown (win probabilities, edge percentages, Kelly suggestions) is the output of a statistical model, and models are sometimes wrong. Past model accuracy does not guarantee future results. All wagering decisions and their financial consequences are entirely your own. 18+. Please gamble responsibly and only stake what you can afford to lose. PRIVACY OliveOdds uses Google's User Messaging Platform to manage advertising consent in line with GDPR. You can update your privacy preferences at any time from the in-app Settings screen.