Value Calc vs Prediction Market

Value Calc helps sports bettors and prediction market traders make smarter staking decisions using rigorous mathematical methods. It is a free, simple calculator with no tracking or login, and includes a few links for more information or future research. All serious pro bettors have those functionalities baked directly into their automated models, but it can be handy for quick calculations on the fly and as an educational starting point for curious, math-savvy people interested in the world of betting and probabilities. KELLY CRITERION Calculate your optimal bet size. Enter your estimated win probability and the odds offered — the Kelly Criterion formula calculates exactly what fraction of your bankroll to stake to maximise long-term capital growth. Supports full, half, and quarter Kelly to manage variance. TRUE PRICE Remove the bookmaker's margin from any set of odds to reveal the true underlying probabilities. Supports 2 to 20 outcomes. Choose between the Optimal method for accurate results or the Normal method for comparison. ODDS CONVERTER Instantly convert between decimal, fractional, American moneyline, and implied probability (prediction market) formats. KEY FEATURES • All calculations run locally — no internet connection required • No accounts, no tracking, no ads • Inputs saved automatically between sessions • Dark, light, and auto themes • Explanations, math, and examples behind every calculator • Source links for future reading or study of the subjects covered This app is a calculation tool only. It does not facilitate, encourage, or enable gambling. Please gamble responsibly.

All prediction markets in one place — and the smart money behind them. Prediction Market brings live probabilities from the world's biggest event trading platforms into one fast, clean app. See what the crowd believes about elections, sports, crypto and world events — and what the most profitable traders are actually buying. TRACK EVERY MARKET • Live odds for politics, sports, crypto, economy and pop culture • Top movers: markets jumping right now • Price history charts (1D to all-time) • Search across thousands of markets FOLLOW THE SMART MONEY (PRO) • Real-time feed of trades over $5,000 • Leaderboard of the 50 most profitable wallets • Full trade history of any top trader • See whale positions on any market GET ALERTED FIRST (PRO) • Whale alerts: push the moment a top wallet makes a big bet • Price alerts: when probability jumps 3, 5 or 10 points in an hour • Closing soon: 24h heads-up before markets you follow close (free) WATCHLIST Star any market. Free tracks up to 5, Pro is unlimited. We are an information & analytics app: we don't take bets, hold funds or execute trades. Trading happens on regulated third-party platforms via external links. Data is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading event contracts involves risk. Pro subscription: $7.99/week with 3-day free trial, or $69.99/year. Payment is charged to your Apple ID account. Subscriptions renew automatically unless cancelled at least 24 hours before the end of the period. Manage or cancel anytime in Settings. Terms of Use: https://www.apple.com/legal/internet-services/itunes/dev/stdeula Privacy Policy: https://predictionmarketapp.lovable.app/privacy