Reckon vs Storey

Reckon ranks hypotheses by what hasn't been knocked down — not by what has the most support. Most decision tools let you write a long pros-and-cons list and call it analysis. That doesn't help — you can rationalize anything in prose. Reckon makes you compare every piece of evidence against every hypothesis and ranks them by Heuer's ACH technique (the method CIA analysts use): fewest refutations first, with a tiebreak on most support. WHAT YOU GET • A starter library: pick from six pre-built example boards (shortseller, founder, researcher, investigator, life decision, doctor) or describe your situation in a paragraph and let on-device AI seed the matrix for you. • Inline bias guardrails: when one hypothesis collects evidence all in the same direction, Reckon flags it. "Bears out" without "Cuts against" is the structural signature of confirmation bias. • Falsifier pre-commitment: state up front what evidence would prove a hypothesis wrong. The app reminds you whether that evidence ever showed up. • Steel-manning before ruling out: before you dismiss a hypothesis, Reckon asks for the strongest case for it. Stops you from throwing out the right answer too early. • Pre-mortem: after you reach a conclusion, the app asks you to imagine being wrong about it in a year. Catches wishful thinking that even refutation-first scoring misses. • Calibration tracking: when you finalize, set your confidence (0–100%) and a check-in date (1 week to 1 year). Come back when the date arrives, log the actual outcome, and Reckon shows your calibration curve over time. Are you actually right when you say you're 80% sure? • Strict Bayes mode (optional): set explicit priors per hypothesis and the matrix shows real Bayesian posterior probabilities updating with each rating, using likelihood ratios per Tetlock/Heuer convention. Real probability, not a heuristic. • Plain English mode: turns off the celestial vocabulary if you'd rather see "Hypotheses / Evidence / Matrix" than "Stars / Observations / Star chart." Same depth, less poetry. • Templates: save your hypothesis structure (e.g. forensic-accounting suspects, differential-diagnosis options) for reuse. Faster on your 12th board than your 1st. PRIVACY Local-only. Your boards, evidence, conclusions, and calibration history stay on your device. No server, no analytics, no ads. AI seed runs entirely on-device via Apple Intelligence — your situation never leaves your phone. WHY ACH Confirming evidence is cheap. Refuting evidence distinguishes. Most decision tools amplify confirmation bias by rewarding biggest positive sum. Reckon does the opposite. iOS 17+. AI seed and Strict Bayes posterior require iOS 26+ on Apple Intelligence-capable devices.

Storey is a habit tracker built around weekly goals. Choose how many days a week you want to exercise, read, meditate or keep any habit, and build a city from your progress. Set a goal from 1 to 7 days a week: exercise 3 days, read 4 days, or meditate 5 days. You choose which days to complete it. Weeks run Sunday to Saturday. Every week you meet a habit's goal adds a permanent floor to its building. Miss a day or a week? The floors you've earned stay. Because your habits deserve more than checkmarks. In Storey, every habit is a building. Keep the habit today and you lay a brick — a lit window in tonight's skyline. Hit your weekly goal and the building tops out: a whole new story rises, permanently. Miss a week and nothing is torn down; your city simply waits for you to build again. Over months, your consistency becomes a place. A street of towers, each one the true record of something you kept doing. BUILD YOUR CITY • Add the habits you want to keep — each one breaks ground as a new tower • Record completed days; every kept day lights a window and every goal-met week adds a floor • A living sky over your skyline: real weather, moon phases, fireworks on big wins SEE YOUR WEEKLY PROGRESS • Streak runs light up entire buildings • Follow weekly goals, goal-met streaks and momentum at a glance in Stats • Calendar views that show every kept day, month by month STAY ON TRACK • Smart optional reminders that skip the nag when you've already built today • A weekly recap of what went up • Milestones for the streaks worth celebrating MAKE IT YOURS • Start with five building styles and unlock more as your tallest tower grows • Explore your building collection, colors and facade patterns — every tower wears the habit it stands for GO FURTHER WITH STOREY PRO • Unlimited habits — grow your street without limits • Every building style unlocked immediately • All twenty-seven colors, including fifteen animated premium finishes • The Building Studio: reshape any tower — silhouettes, crowns, window cuts, story pitch, pinned ornaments. Your city, your architecture • Time travel: rewrite any past day, not just yesterday Storey Pro offers auto-renewable monthly (with a 7-day free trial) and yearly subscriptions. Payment is charged to your Apple Account at confirmation of purchase. The subscription renews automatically unless cancelled at least 24 hours before the end of the current period; manage or cancel any time in your App Store account settings. Prices may vary by region. Terms of Use: https://trystorey.com/terms Privacy Policy: https://trystorey.com/privacy Private by design: sign in with Apple, delete your account (and every brick of your data) any time from Settings. Start with one habit. Keep it today. Watch something rise.