HivePoly vs Deviate

Track the biggest prediction market events in real time -- across Polymarket and Kalshi. HivePoly shows you the highest-volume markets right now: what the crowd believes, how confident they are, and how much money is behind each opinion. Browse the live leaderboard, tap any event for a deep-dive, and save the ones you care about. HOW IT WORKS Prediction markets are platforms where people buy and sell positions on future outcomes. The price of a position directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate -- if a market is priced at 74%, the crowd collectively believes there is a 74% chance that outcome resolves YES. HivePoly aggregates this data from Polymarket and Kalshi, ranks events by 24-hour trading volume, and presents it in a clean, fast interface. WHAT YOU CAN DO - Browse the leaderboard: top events ranked by 24h volume across Politics, Crypto, Finance, Economy, Geopolitics, and Weather - Switch between Polymarket and Kalshi with a single tap - See crowd-probability at a glance for binary events, or ranked odds for multi-outcome events - Tap any event for full probability history, volume breakdown, and a direct link to the source market - Save events to your Watchlist for quick access - Track Platform Accuracy to see which platform's crowd has been most correct over time CATEGORIES Politics | Crypto | Finance | Economy | Geopolitics | Weather FREE vs PREMIUM Free: Full leaderboard on both platforms, up to 5 Watchlist items, Platform Accuracy tab. Premium (3.99/mo or 27.99/yr): Unlimited Watchlist, iCloud sync across your devices. DATA SOURCES HivePoly reads publicly available market data from Polymarket and Kalshi. It is an independent information tool -- it does not facilitate trading, hold funds, or execute transactions of any kind. No account required. No personal data collected. Analytics are fully anonymous. SUBSCRIPTION INFORMATION Subscription auto-renews unless cancelled at least 24 hours before the end of the current period. Manage or cancel anytime in your Apple ID settings. Terms of Use: https://sites.google.com/view/hivepoly-home/home/terms-of-service Privacy Policy: https://sites.google.com/view/hivepoly-home/home/privacy-policy

Gone are the days of spending tons of time searching through prediction markets for small mispricings or opportunities. You now have Deviate. Deviate is a handheld model that scans sports prediction markets 24/7 and notifies you whenever there is edge in a game, series, or event. It computes probability from historical game data, compares it against what prediction markets are pricing right now, and alerts you when the two pull apart to help you identify positive expected value opportunities. HOW IT WORKS The model reads the game state: score, server, inning, possession, time remaining. Every state maps to a win probability computed from historical outcomes in comparable situations. Market prices update continuously. So does the model. When the gap passes the threshold you set, you get a notification. You get both numbers, the size of the gap, and a plain-English explanation of why it fired. What you do with it is your call. WHY THE TWO NUMBERS DISAGREE Markets price things a raw historical lookup doesn't. If a favorite drops a set, the price already reflects that this is a favorite. That's why some "the numbers say" content is quietly wrong. Deviate's models are state-conditional and validated against real outcomes before they ship. The baseball model runs on decades of play-by-play data. Each one is checked against empirical frequencies. WHAT'S IN THE APP The edge page shows every alert that's currently open, with the model number, the market number, and the reasoning behind it. Live shows every market Deviate is tracking, with current prices and volume. History is the full record of every alert that has resolved, wins and losses both. Settings is where you pick your sports, set your minimum edge, and cap how many alerts you're willing to get in a day. In the account section, you can manage your subscription and cancel anytime. PUBLIC TRACK RECORD Every alert is timestamped when it's sent, not scored after the fact. Wins and losses. You can open the history and read the whole thing before you pay for anything. BUILT TO BE USEFUL Deviate is a pager, not a feed. Pick your sports, set your minimum edge, cap your alerts per day, and close the app. It only alerts you when something is actually there. PRICING Two weeks free, then $9.99/month. Cancel any time in your Apple ID settings. DISCLAIMER Deviate is not affiliated with or endorsed by any exchange. Deviate does not facilitate or allow any type of event-based trading on its platform. Deviate does not provide any outstanding recommendations or absolute suggestions for event-based contracts. The app simply displays mispricings based on an in-house built model. All trading occurs on third-party platforms if the user decides to trade based on model-provided analytics. Trading event contracts involve the risk of loss. Past performances do not indicate future results. Terms of Use (EULA): https://www.apple.com/legal/internet-services/itunes/dev/stdeula/