Futures Study
Predict. Resolve. Calibrate.
About
This app helps you improve your forecasting skills by guiding you through structured reasoning frameworks. It allows you to make falsifiable predictions, track their outcomes, and analyze your personal calibration curve to understand your accuracy over time. Capture insights from anywhere and export your data easily.
What's New in Futures Study
2.0
October 24, 2026
Futures Study 2.0 PRACTICE ROUNDS Ten questions with known answers. Commit to a confidence, see the truth straight away, and learn what 90% sure actually feels like before your real forecasts come due. AN HONEST CALIBRATION CURVE With only a handful of resolved predictions, a curve mostly shows luck. Each confidence band now shows how far luck alone could swing it, and the app only calls a pattern when your results fall outside that range. Your record shows how many predictions you expected to come true against how many did. REVISE A FORECAST News arrives before the resolution date. Update your confidence as you learn more, and keep the history of how your view changed. SHARE YOUR RECORD A track-record card with your calibration and score. It carries numbers only, never a statement, a note or a source. WORKED EXAMPLES AND SUGGESTIONS Every framework question now has a worked example, and the picker suggests the framework that best fits what you captured. LIGHT MODE Choose System, Light or Dark in Settings. Also: larger small print, better contrast in light mode, and a timeline whose last entry no longer hides under the + button.
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FAQ
What is Futures Study?
Futures Study is an educational app designed to help users improve their forecasting accuracy. It guides you through structured reasoning frameworks to make falsifiable predictions and then tracks their outcomes to calibrate your personal accuracy.
How does Futures Study help me improve my predictions?
The app uses six distinct reasoning frameworks, such as the Cone of Possibility and STEEP Horizon Scan, to guide your thinking. By making predictions with confidence levels and resolution dates, and then honestly recording the outcomes, you build a personal calibration curve.
What frameworks are included in Futures Study?
Futures Study includes frameworks like Cone of Possibility, STEEP Horizon Scan, Futures Wheel, Assumption Audit, Base Rates & Reference Class, and Scenario Planning. Each framework is designed to enhance different aspects of your analytical reasoning.
Can I use Futures Study offline?
Yes, Futures Study operates without an account or server, meaning your data is stored locally. This allows you to use all its features for prediction and calibration without an internet connection.
How is my prediction accuracy measured in Futures Study?
The app measures your accuracy through a calibration curve, comparing your stated confidence levels to your actual hit rate. It also provides metrics like Brier score and breakdowns by confidence band and domain.
What devices does Futures Study support?
Futures Study is available on Mac, Apple Watch, iPhone, and iPad, allowing you to make and track predictions across your Apple ecosystem.
How often is Futures Study updated?
The latest version, 2.0, was released on October 24, 2026, indicating active development. Users can expect ongoing improvements and feature additions.
Does Futures Study have ads?
No, Futures Study does not contain advertisements. It is a paid application with all features included in the one-time purchase.