
Free
About
This app helps you think clearly about the future. Record a prediction, state how confident you are, then come back later to judge what actually happened. Over time, it shows you how well-calibrated your intuition really is.
Great forecasters are not the ones who are always right. They are the ones who know how sure to be. This app turns that skill into a habit.
HOW IT WORKS
- Write a prediction in plain language
- Set your confidence from 50% to 99%
- Add the reasoning behind your call
- Pick a reveal date and get a reminder
- When the time comes, judge it Correct, Incorrect, or Ambiguous
- Add a final note on what you learned
INSIGHTS THAT MATTER
- Accuracy: how often your calls come true
- Brier score: a single number for how sharp your forecasts are (lower is better)
- Calibration curve: when you say 70%, does it happen 70% of the time?
- Accuracy by category: see where your judgment is strong and where it slips
WHY IT WORKS
- Build the habit of thinking in probabilities
- Catch overconfidence and hindsight bias
- Make better decisions at work, in markets, and in life
- Keep an honest record of your own thinking
PRIVATE BY DESIGN
- All data stays on your device
- No account, no login, no tracking
- No ads, no analytics SDKs
Whether you are forecasting markets, project deadlines, sports, world events, or just whether it will rain tomorrow, this app helps you get a little wiser every time you are proven right or wrong.
Terms https://web-levi.web.app/terms • Privacy https://web-levi.web.app/privacy-policy • Support tphuc.work@gmail.com
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What's New in Prediction Tracker & Journal
1.1.0
July 22, 2026
Small refinements and stability improvements throughout the app.


