The Hill vs Election Tracker

Covering congress & politics with a focus on business and lobbying, political campaigns, and goings on on Capitol Hill. Read news, analysis, and opinion pieces across a variety of categories, including Senate, House, Administration, Campaign, Business & Lobbying, and topical blogs. Watch video clips of reporting from the capitol, as well as full episodes of our political talk shows. Follow topics to get push notifications on breaking news. Save stories to read later.

Every published US poll, grouped by race and averaged by a method short enough to print. Senate, House, governor and 2028 primary polls; presidential approval as a 7-day average with a 90-day chart; prediction-market sentiment labelled as exactly that. No account, no feed, no editorial — and the source named on every screen. POLLS, GROUPED BY RACE Senate, the generic congressional ballot, governor races and the 2028 presidential primaries. Every poll shows its pollster, sample size, population (likely voters, registered voters, adults) and field dates, because a poll without those is just a number. Each race opens on its three newest polls; expand it for the full list. AN AVERAGE THAT SHOWS ITS WORK Each race gets a 30-day polling average with a plain method: same-pollster duplicates collapsed to their strongest sample, linear recency weighting, and a minimum number of appearances before a candidate is included. The leader's margin sits on every race as a chip. Races with enough polling over enough time also get a trend line drawn to scale, so a quiet fortnight is as wide as a busy one. PRESIDENTIAL APPROVAL Approve, disapprove and the net number as a 7-day average of every published poll — so one pollster's loud week does not move the headline — with a 30- or 90-day chart and the individual polls underneath. Drawn from VoteHub, with the New York Times polling average as a fallback source. PIN THE RACES YOU FOLLOW Star a race and it stays at the top of its tab. Filter a long list of races by name. Share any race average or the approval number as text, with its poll count and dates attached. PREDICTION MARKET SENTIMENT Current Polymarket prices for the races people are watching, with 24-hour moves on the leading outcomes and a filter by race type. Market prices are trader sentiment, not forecasts, and the app says so on the screen. Election Tracker does not take wagers, hold funds, or facilitate any transaction. BUILT TO BE READ QUICKLY A countdown to election day. Pull to refresh. Light and dark themes that follow your device. Every screen labels how fresh its data is, and says so plainly when it is showing you something older. Pollster releases open in an in-app browser and bring you straight back. WORKS WHEN THE SIGNAL DOESN'T The last good response for every screen stays on your device, so opening the app on a plane or a bad connection shows you the most recent numbers you had, clearly marked as such, instead of a spinner. ELECTION REMINDERS Optional local reminders at 30 days, a week, a day out and on election day itself. They are scheduled on your device; nothing is sent to a server. NO ACCOUNT, NO SIGN-UP There is nothing to log into. No profile, no tracking of what you read, no newsletter. FREE, WITH A WAY TO TURN THE ADS OFF Election Tracker is supported by a small banner. A single one-time purchase in Settings removes every ad, forever — it is not a subscription, and nothing in the app is gated behind an ad or a purchase. WHERE THE NUMBERS COME FROM Polls and approval from VoteHub, approval fallback from the New York Times polling average, market prices from Polymarket. Every screen names its source. This app is for information only. Polling data comes from third parties, reflects the moment it was taken, and does not predict an outcome.