Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

A market for every question

139 ratings
35 reviews
Free
In-App Purchases

Details

  • Released
  • Updated
  • November 20, 2022
  • August 31, 2026

Features

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Manifold Markets screenshot #8 for iPhone
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About

This app offers accurate forecasts on a wide range of topics. Users can trade on these forecasts using play-money, earn if they are correct, and create their own questions to explore their curiosities. It's a platform for social forecasting and prediction.

Accurate forecasts
Trade on forecasts
Earn play-money
Ask prediction questions
Social forecasting
Future prediction
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What users say

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What's New in Manifold Markets

2.1.0

August 31, 2026

Streak widgets are here. • Add Manifold to your home screen to see your streak at a glance • Lock screen widgets too — circular, rectangular and inline • A live countdown to the daily deadline, so you never lose a streak by accident • See your remaining streak freezes and your daily quests • Meet Mani, who reacts to how your streak is going Also in this update: • Fixed a sign-in issue that could leave you stuck on the login screen • Identity verification now works better in the app

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In-App Purchases

$35.99

2,500 Mana

Mana for your favorite prediction markets!

User reviews

I love Manifold

Best site ever!

Social gambling for smart people

It’s a great place to become better informed by the world because reality will slap you down when you’re wrong. And seeing a huge positive price swing on risky prediction bets is quite the thrill, despite no real money/stakes involved, at least for me.

But the best part is the users: more rational, less misinformed and more interesting than the vast majority of social media online.
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A market made for future

You could consider yourself good with numbers, or a new age digital currency expert. However simply being a user of these markets don’t even begin to question what futures you will succeed or fail in.

Unexpectedly high quality app

Wow. Devs and ux/ui for this app are doing it right (and where they’re not, they are actively updating and fixing). I went in discord to report a bug and got a response in minutes from like 3 devs…like…are you kidding me right now?! Thats insanely awesome.

As for the actual app idea- prediction markets which use proceeds as donations, one of which is give directly…i mean cmon thats the one of the best app ideas ive ever heard.

Seriously cheers to yall who make this app a thing.

P.S. I heard about it through Eliezer Yudkowsky.

P.P.S Nick Bostrom iz cool

Update: donations have been shut off, i am sad :( will increase rating if it resumes again
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Awesome

The UI is awesome and it’s pretty fun so far!

User experience

🐞

Reported Bugs

10 issues

Update deleted markets and verification feature doesn't work

Bug

Stuck on loading screen after account creation

Bug

Questions vanish after creation

Bug

Loading bar issue when viewing trades

Bug

Verification feature errors out

Bug

Site is down or slows to a crawl constantly

Bug

Political markets manipulated by mods

Bug

Vague polls are subjectively ended

Bug

Links posted to question descriptions open a bad thumbnail on mobile

Bug

Cannot save chosen topics when following a topic

Bug

Requested Features

7 requests

More interesting and diverse markets

Feature

Ability to save drafts of questions

Feature

Easier way to embed predictions into Obsidian.md

Feature

Switching tabs shouldn't send back to home page

Feature

App-specific functions beyond mobile website port

Feature

Improve thumbnail display for links on mobile

Feature

Resume donations feature

Feature

FAQ

What does Manifold Markets do?

Manifold Markets provides accurate forecasts on a wide variety of topics. Users can engage with these forecasts by trading on them using play-money. If your predictions are correct, you can earn play-money.

How can I use Manifold Markets?

You can use the app to explore your curiosities by asking questions about anything you're interested in and creating forecasts. You can also trade on existing forecasts and compete with friends to predict the future.

Is Manifold Markets free to use?

The app is free to download and use, offering play-money for trading and forecasting. It also includes in-app purchases and advertisements.

What kind of forecasts can I find on Manifold Markets?

You can find accurate forecasts on a broad spectrum of topics. The platform allows users to ask questions about anything they are curious about, leading to a diverse range of potential predictions and market events.