Manifold Markets vs PolySim
Price, ratings, monetisation and update history for both apps, side by side — with what reviewers say about each.
Manifold Markets
This app offers accurate forecasts on a wide range of topics. Users can trade on these forecasts using play-money, earn if they are correct, and create their own questions to explore their curiosities. It's a platform for social forecasting and prediction.
- Accurate forecasts
- Trade on forecasts
- Earn play-money
- Ask prediction questions
- Social forecasting
- Future prediction
Read full descriptionHide full description
Manifold is the largest social prediction market. Bet with play-money on what happens next — in politics, sports, science, tech, AI, pop culture, and your own life — and find out how well you really know the world. Every market is a question with a probability attached, set by thousands of traders putting their (play) money where their mouth is. Think the crowd is wrong? Trade against it and profit when you're right. WHAT YOU CAN DO • Trade on thousands of live markets, from elections and championships to "will my friend finish their novel this year" • Create your own market on anything in seconds and let the world weigh in • Compete on leaderboards, climb the league ladder, and keep your daily streak alive • Follow friends, comment on markets, and argue about the odds • Get notified when markets you care about move or resolve • Track your portfolio, profit, and forecasting accuracy over time WHY PREDICTION MARKETS? Prices are probabilities, so a market at 70% means traders collectively think there's a 70% chance the event happens. Manifold's forecasts have called elections, sports, and world events with striking accuracy — and you can be part of the signal. WHO IT'S FOR Forecasters, sports fans, politics junkies, news addicts, superforecasters-in-training, and anyone who's ever said "I bet…" and wanted to back it up. FREE TO PLAY Manifold runs entirely on mana, a play-money currency. You start with a free balance and earn more by trading well, creating popular markets, and logging in daily. Mana has no cash value and cannot be withdrawn or exchanged for real money. No gambling, no purchase necessary to play. Join a community of forecasters who take being right seriously — and have fun doing it.
PolySim
Practice trading on prediction markets without any financial risk. This simulator allows you to test your instincts on various event markets using virtual money. Learn about market dynamics and improve your trading strategies in a clean, fast interface.
- Virtual cash balance
- Trade Yes/No outcomes
- Real-time profit/loss tracking
- Build multi-category positions
- Monitor portfolio performance
- Explore diverse event categories
- Fast, clean interface
Read full descriptionHide full description
PolySim is a paper trading simulator inspired by prediction markets. It reads PolyMarket data live so you can practice trading elections, crypto, sports, geopolitics, finance, weather, technology, and breaking world events using simulated money only. No deposits. No withdrawals. No risk. No signups. No subscriptions. No ads. If you have ever wanted to test your instincts on event markets before risking real money, PolySim gives you a clean and fast way to learn simply. FEATURES • Start with a virtual cash balance • Trade Yes or No outcomes using live market probabilities • Track profit and loss in real time • Build positions across multiple categories • Monitor portfolio performance • Explore politics, crypto, sports, economy, tech, weather and more • Fast clean interface designed for active traders • Practice strategies with no financial risk WHY USERS LOVE POLYSIM • Learn how event markets work • Test conviction before real trading • Improve timing and risk management • Follow major global stories in a more engaging way • Compete against yourself and grow your virtual portfolio CATEGORIES INCLUDE • Politics • Sports • Crypto • Finance • Geopolitics • Economy • Technology • Culture • Weather IMPORTANT PolySim is a simulator for educational and entertainment purposes only. No real money trading takes place. PolySim is not a gambling app. PolySim is not affiliated with Polymarket. Market information may be sourced from publicly available data. Download PolySim and see if you can grow your virtual portfolio.
Screenshots
Verdict
The clearest difference is price: Manifold Markets at Free against PolySim's $0.99. Manifold Markets also leads on rating (4.5 vs 1.0) and ratings volume (139 vs 1). PolySim's advantage is in-app purchases (none vs 3) and update cadence (every 3 days vs fortnightly). On ads there is nothing between them.
Scored on Price · Rating · Positive reviews · Number of ratings · Update frequency · Ads · In-app purchases · Monetization · Best chart rank · Devices · Requires iOS
Manifold Markets is free to download; PolySim costs $0.99 up front. Manifold Markets sells 3 one-off in-app purchases. PolySim asks for nothing beyond the download.
Manifold Markets holds the better App Store score, 4.5 against 1.0. That said, the two scores are not equally well evidenced: Manifold Markets has 139 ratings behind it against 1, so its average is the more settled of the two.
Manifold Markets ships an update fortnightly, PolySim every 3 days. The most recent releases landed on October 12, 2026 and October 5, 2026 respectively.
| Parameter | Manifold Markets | PolySim |
|---|---|---|
| Price | Free — better | $0.99 |
| Rating | 4.5 (139 ratings) — better | 1.0 (1 ratings) |
| Positive reviews | 68.6% of reviews | — |
| Number of ratings | 139 — better | 1 |
| Update frequency | Fortnightly | Every 3 days — better |
| Ads | No | No |
| In-app purchases | Yes | No — better |
| Monetization | Free with in-app purchases | Free — better |
| Best chart rank | — | #104 — better |
| Devices | iPhone, iPad, iPod — better | iPhone |
| Requires iOS | 15.1 — better | 17.6 |
| Further details — not scored | ||
| Size | 27 MB | 2 MB |
| Age rating | +17 | 4+ |
| Developer | Manifold Markets, Inc. | Matthew Moffat |
Customer experience
Manifold Markets
PolySim
Bugs and requests
Manifold Markets
Reported bugs
10 issues- Update deleted markets and verification feature doesn't work
- Stuck on loading screen after account creation
- Questions vanish after creation
- Loading bar issue when viewing trades
- Verification feature errors out
Show 5 moreShow fewer
- Site is down or slows to a crawl constantly
- Political markets manipulated by mods
- Vague polls are subjectively ended
- Links posted to question descriptions open a bad thumbnail on mobile
- Cannot save chosen topics when following a topic
Requested features
7 requests- More interesting and diverse markets
- Ability to save drafts of questions
- Easier way to embed predictions into Obsidian.md
- Switching tabs shouldn't send back to home page
- App-specific functions beyond mobile website port
Show 2 moreShow fewer
- Improve thumbnail display for links on mobile
- Resume donations feature
PolySim
Not enough reviews yet to summarise bugs or requests.
In-app purchases
Manifold Markets
- 1,000 Mana$14.99
- 2,500 Mana$35.99
- 10,000 Mana$142.99
PolySim
No in-app purchases
Questions
Is Manifold Markets free?
Is PolySim free?
Which has better reviews, Manifold Markets or PolySim?
Do Manifold Markets or PolySim have ads?
Which is updated more often, Manifold Markets or PolySim?
Other comparisons















