Manifold Markets vs Predx
Price, ratings, monetisation and update history for both apps, side by side — with what reviewers say about each.
Manifold Markets
This app offers accurate forecasts on a wide range of topics. Users can trade on these forecasts using play-money, earn if they are correct, and create their own questions to explore their curiosities. It's a platform for social forecasting and prediction.
- Accurate forecasts
- Trade on forecasts
- Earn play-money
- Ask prediction questions
- Social forecasting
- Future prediction
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Manifold is the largest social prediction market. Bet with play-money on what happens next — in politics, sports, science, tech, AI, pop culture, and your own life — and find out how well you really know the world. Every market is a question with a probability attached, set by thousands of traders putting their (play) money where their mouth is. Think the crowd is wrong? Trade against it and profit when you're right. WHAT YOU CAN DO • Trade on thousands of live markets, from elections and championships to "will my friend finish their novel this year" • Create your own market on anything in seconds and let the world weigh in • Compete on leaderboards, climb the league ladder, and keep your daily streak alive • Follow friends, comment on markets, and argue about the odds • Get notified when markets you care about move or resolve • Track your portfolio, profit, and forecasting accuracy over time WHY PREDICTION MARKETS? Prices are probabilities, so a market at 70% means traders collectively think there's a 70% chance the event happens. Manifold's forecasts have called elections, sports, and world events with striking accuracy — and you can be part of the signal. WHO IT'S FOR Forecasters, sports fans, politics junkies, news addicts, superforecasters-in-training, and anyone who's ever said "I bet…" and wanted to back it up. FREE TO PLAY Manifold runs entirely on mana, a play-money currency. You start with a free balance and earn more by trading well, creating popular markets, and logging in daily. Mana has no cash value and cannot be withdrawn or exchanged for real money. No gambling, no purchase necessary to play. Join a community of forecasters who take being right seriously — and have fun doing it.
Predx
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PredX is an AI-powered market intelligence app that helps users follow financial news, understand on-chain activity, and review prediction-based market signals in one place. Key features: - Track market-moving financial news and event updates - Understand the context behind major market events - Review on-chain data signals and related market activity - Explore AI-assisted prediction views and analytical insights - Save important views for continued research and comparison PredX brings together news analysis, on-chain data, and AI capabilities to support faster market research and clearer event understanding. PredX is designed for informational and research purposes only. It does not provide financial advice, investment recommendations, or guaranteed outcomes.
Screenshots
Verdict
The clearest difference is in-app purchases: Predx at none against Manifold Markets's 3. Manifold Markets's advantage is device support (3 vs 1). On price, update cadence, ads and iOS requirement there is nothing between them.
Scored on Price · Rating · Positive reviews · Number of ratings · Update frequency · Ads · In-app purchases · Monetization · Best chart rank · Devices · Requires iOS
Both are free to download. Manifold Markets sells 3 one-off in-app purchases. Predx asks for nothing beyond the download.
Manifold Markets ships an update fortnightly, Predx weekly. The most recent releases landed on October 27, 2026 and October 28, 2026 respectively.
| Parameter | Manifold Markets | Predx |
|---|---|---|
| Price | Free | Free |
| Rating | 4.5 (145 ratings) — better | — |
| Positive reviews | 68.6% of reviews | — |
| Number of ratings | 145 — better | — |
| Update frequency | Fortnightly | Weekly — better |
| Ads | No | No |
| In-app purchases | Yes | No — better |
| Monetization | Free with in-app purchases | — |
| Devices | iPhone, iPad, iPod — better | iPhone |
| Requires iOS | 15.1 — better | 16.4 |
| Further details — not scored | ||
| Size | 27 MB | 38 MB |
| Age rating | +17 | 4+ |
| Developer | Manifold Markets, Inc. | AIPOLLO PTE. LTD. |
Bugs and requests
Manifold Markets
Reported bugs
10 issues- Update deleted markets and verification feature doesn't work
- Stuck on loading screen after account creation
- Questions vanish after creation
- Loading bar issue when viewing trades
- Verification feature errors out
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- Site is down or slows to a crawl constantly
- Political markets manipulated by mods
- Vague polls are subjectively ended
- Links posted to question descriptions open a bad thumbnail on mobile
- Cannot save chosen topics when following a topic
Requested features
7 requests- More interesting and diverse markets
- Ability to save drafts of questions
- Easier way to embed predictions into Obsidian.md
- Switching tabs shouldn't send back to home page
- App-specific functions beyond mobile website port
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- Improve thumbnail display for links on mobile
- Resume donations feature
Predx
Not enough reviews yet to summarise bugs or requests.
In-app purchases
Manifold Markets
- 1,000 Mana$14.99
- 2,500 Mana$35.99
- 10,000 Mana$142.99
Predx
No in-app purchases
