Manifold Markets vs PredictPal
Price, ratings, monetisation and update history for both apps, side by side — with what reviewers say about each.
Manifold Markets
This app offers accurate forecasts on a wide range of topics. Users can trade on these forecasts using play-money, earn if they are correct, and create their own questions to explore their curiosities. It's a platform for social forecasting and prediction.
- Accurate forecasts
- Trade on forecasts
- Earn play-money
- Ask prediction questions
- Social forecasting
- Future prediction
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Manifold is the largest social prediction market. Bet with play-money on what happens next — in politics, sports, science, tech, AI, pop culture, and your own life — and find out how well you really know the world. Every market is a question with a probability attached, set by thousands of traders putting their (play) money where their mouth is. Think the crowd is wrong? Trade against it and profit when you're right. WHAT YOU CAN DO • Trade on thousands of live markets, from elections and championships to "will my friend finish their novel this year" • Create your own market on anything in seconds and let the world weigh in • Compete on leaderboards, climb the league ladder, and keep your daily streak alive • Follow friends, comment on markets, and argue about the odds • Get notified when markets you care about move or resolve • Track your portfolio, profit, and forecasting accuracy over time WHY PREDICTION MARKETS? Prices are probabilities, so a market at 70% means traders collectively think there's a 70% chance the event happens. Manifold's forecasts have called elections, sports, and world events with striking accuracy — and you can be part of the signal. WHO IT'S FOR Forecasters, sports fans, politics junkies, news addicts, superforecasters-in-training, and anyone who's ever said "I bet…" and wanted to back it up. FREE TO PLAY Manifold runs entirely on mana, a play-money currency. You start with a free balance and earn more by trading well, creating popular markets, and logging in daily. Mana has no cash value and cannot be withdrawn or exchanged for real money. No gambling, no purchase necessary to play. Join a community of forecasters who take being right seriously — and have fun doing it.
PredictPal
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PredictionHub is an independent information aggregator that consolidates publicly available prediction market data from multiple platforms into a single interface. Users can browse, compare, and analyze live probabilities on real-world events. The app does not operate markets, facilitate or execute trades, process transactions, hold funds, or act as a broker, exchange, or financial intermediary. It is strictly an information and discovery tool. External links are provided solely for convenience. What you can do • Explore 100,000+ markets across politics, economics, crypto, tech, sports, and culture with search, sorting, and filters. • Compare the same question across venues and view cross-platform consensus. • Read AI-generated market overviews grounded in recent news. • Track price history via interactive charts and related headlines. • Build watchlists, set alerts, make free practice predictions, and join community discussion. Support model The core experience is free. Optional paid subscriptions may unlock premium features. The app may include ads. Affiliate links to partner platforms may generate commissions at no extra cost to you; all such relationships are disclosed. Neutral by design Every market is attributed to its source platform. PredictionHub is unaffiliated with any prediction market operator. All content is for informational purposes only. Always verify data and conduct any activity exclusively on the original platforms in accordance with applicable laws and regulations.Prediction markets convert collective activity into live probabilities. PredictionHub makes those signals easier to find, compare, and understand.
Screenshots
Verdict
The clearest difference is in-app purchases: PredictPal at none against Manifold Markets's 3. PredictPal also leads on rating (5.0 vs 4.5). Manifold Markets's advantage is ratings volume (145 vs 1). On price, ads, device support and iOS requirement there is nothing between them.
Scored on Price · Rating · Positive reviews · Number of ratings · Update frequency · Ads · In-app purchases · Monetization · Best chart rank · Devices · Requires iOS
Both are free to download. Manifold Markets sells 3 one-off in-app purchases. PredictPal asks for nothing beyond the download.
PredictPal holds the better App Store score, 5.0 against 4.5. That said, the two scores are not equally well evidenced: Manifold Markets has 145 ratings behind it against 1, so its average is the more settled of the two.
| Parameter | Manifold Markets | PredictPal |
|---|---|---|
| Price | Free | Free |
| Rating | 4.5 (145 ratings) | 5.0 (1 ratings) — better |
| Positive reviews | 68.6% of reviews | — |
| Number of ratings | 145 — better | 1 |
| Update frequency | Fortnightly | — |
| Ads | No | No |
| In-app purchases | Yes | No — better |
| Monetization | Free with in-app purchases | — |
| Devices | iPhone, iPad, iPod — better | iPhone, iPod |
| Requires iOS | 15.1 | 15.1 |
| Further details — not scored | ||
| Size | 27 MB | 38 MB |
| Age rating | +17 | 17+ |
| Developer | Manifold Markets, Inc. | ELIZABETH PING CHI |
Bugs and requests
Manifold Markets
Reported bugs
10 issues- Update deleted markets and verification feature doesn't work
- Stuck on loading screen after account creation
- Questions vanish after creation
- Loading bar issue when viewing trades
- Verification feature errors out
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- Site is down or slows to a crawl constantly
- Political markets manipulated by mods
- Vague polls are subjectively ended
- Links posted to question descriptions open a bad thumbnail on mobile
- Cannot save chosen topics when following a topic
Requested features
7 requests- More interesting and diverse markets
- Ability to save drafts of questions
- Easier way to embed predictions into Obsidian.md
- Switching tabs shouldn't send back to home page
- App-specific functions beyond mobile website port
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- Improve thumbnail display for links on mobile
- Resume donations feature
PredictPal
Not enough reviews yet to summarise bugs or requests.
In-app purchases
Manifold Markets
- 1,000 Mana$14.99
- 2,500 Mana$35.99
- 10,000 Mana$142.99
PredictPal
No in-app purchases
Questions
Is Manifold Markets free?
Is PredictPal free?
Which has better reviews, Manifold Markets or PredictPal?
Do Manifold Markets or PredictPal have ads?
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