Comparison

Manifold Markets vs PredictPal

Price, ratings, monetisation and update history for both apps, side by side — with what reviewers say about each.

Head to head
About

Manifold Markets

This app offers accurate forecasts on a wide range of topics. Users can trade on these forecasts using play-money, earn if they are correct, and create their own questions to explore their curiosities. It's a platform for social forecasting and prediction.

Highlights
  • Accurate forecasts
  • Trade on forecasts
  • Earn play-money
  • Ask prediction questions
  • Social forecasting
  • Future prediction
Features
Read full description

Manifold is the largest social prediction market. Bet with play-money on what happens next — in politics, sports, science, tech, AI, pop culture, and your own life — and find out how well you really know the world. Every market is a question with a probability attached, set by thousands of traders putting their (play) money where their mouth is. Think the crowd is wrong? Trade against it and profit when you're right. WHAT YOU CAN DO • Trade on thousands of live markets, from elections and championships to "will my friend finish their novel this year" • Create your own market on anything in seconds and let the world weigh in • Compete on leaderboards, climb the league ladder, and keep your daily streak alive • Follow friends, comment on markets, and argue about the odds • Get notified when markets you care about move or resolve • Track your portfolio, profit, and forecasting accuracy over time WHY PREDICTION MARKETS? Prices are probabilities, so a market at 70% means traders collectively think there's a 70% chance the event happens. Manifold's forecasts have called elections, sports, and world events with striking accuracy — and you can be part of the signal. WHO IT'S FOR Forecasters, sports fans, politics junkies, news addicts, superforecasters-in-training, and anyone who's ever said "I bet…" and wanted to back it up. FREE TO PLAY Manifold runs entirely on mana, a play-money currency. You start with a free balance and earn more by trading well, creating popular markets, and logging in daily. Mana has no cash value and cannot be withdrawn or exchanged for real money. No gambling, no purchase necessary to play. Join a community of forecasters who take being right seriously — and have fun doing it.

About

PredictPal

Read full description

PredictionHub is an independent information aggregator that consolidates publicly available prediction market data from multiple platforms into a single interface. Users can browse, compare, and analyze live probabilities on real-world events. The app does not operate markets, facilitate or execute trades, process transactions, hold funds, or act as a broker, exchange, or financial intermediary. It is strictly an information and discovery tool. External links are provided solely for convenience. What you can do • Explore 100,000+ markets across politics, economics, crypto, tech, sports, and culture with search, sorting, and filters. • Compare the same question across venues and view cross-platform consensus. • Read AI-generated market overviews grounded in recent news. • Track price history via interactive charts and related headlines. • Build watchlists, set alerts, make free practice predictions, and join community discussion. Support model The core experience is free. Optional paid subscriptions may unlock premium features. The app may include ads. Affiliate links to partner platforms may generate commissions at no extra cost to you; all such relationships are disclosed. Neutral by design Every market is attributed to its source platform. PredictionHub is unaffiliated with any prediction market operator. All content is for informational purposes only. Always verify data and conduct any activity exclusively on the original platforms in accordance with applicable laws and regulations.Prediction markets convert collective activity into live probabilities. PredictionHub makes those signals easier to find, compare, and understand.

Screenshots

Manifold Markets4 screens
PredictPal4 screens

Verdict

The call

The clearest difference is in-app purchases: PredictPal at none against Manifold Markets's 3. PredictPal also leads on rating (5.0 vs 4.5). Manifold Markets's advantage is ratings volume (145 vs 1). On price, ads, device support and iOS requirement there is nothing between them.

Scored on Price · Rating · Positive reviews · Number of ratings · Update frequency · Ads · In-app purchases · Monetization · Best chart rank · Devices · Requires iOS

CostPrice · In-app purchases · Ads · Monetization

Both are free to download. Manifold Markets sells 3 one-off in-app purchases. PredictPal asks for nothing beyond the download.

ReceptionRating · Positive reviews · Number of ratings

PredictPal holds the better App Store score, 5.0 against 4.5. That said, the two scores are not equally well evidenced: Manifold Markets has 145 ratings behind it against 1, so its average is the more settled of the two.

Scorecard3 real differences · 7 level
Manifold Markets versus PredictPal: the parameters behind the verdict, then further details
ParameterManifold MarketsPredictPal
PriceFreeFree
Rating4.5 (145 ratings)5.0 (1 ratings) — better
Positive reviews68.6% of reviews—
Number of ratings145 — better1
Update frequencyFortnightly—
AdsNoNo
In-app purchasesYesNo — better
MonetizationFree with in-app purchases—
DevicesiPhone, iPad, iPod — betteriPhone, iPod
Requires iOS15.115.1
Further details — not scored
Size27 MB38 MB
Age rating+1717+
DeveloperManifold Markets, Inc.ELIZABETH PING CHI

Bugs and requests

Manifold Markets

Reported bugs

10 issues
  • Update deleted markets and verification feature doesn't work
  • Stuck on loading screen after account creation
  • Questions vanish after creation
  • Loading bar issue when viewing trades
  • Verification feature errors out
Show 5 more
  • Site is down or slows to a crawl constantly
  • Political markets manipulated by mods
  • Vague polls are subjectively ended
  • Links posted to question descriptions open a bad thumbnail on mobile
  • Cannot save chosen topics when following a topic

Requested features

7 requests
  • More interesting and diverse markets
  • Ability to save drafts of questions
  • Easier way to embed predictions into Obsidian.md
  • Switching tabs shouldn't send back to home page
  • App-specific functions beyond mobile website port
Show 2 more
  • Improve thumbnail display for links on mobile
  • Resume donations feature

PredictPal

Not enough reviews yet to summarise bugs or requests.

In-app purchases

3 purchases

Manifold Markets

One-time3
  • 1,000 Mana$14.99
  • 2,500 Mana$35.99
  • 10,000 Mana$142.99
None

PredictPal

No in-app purchases

Questions

Is Manifold Markets free?
Manifold Markets is free to download, with in-app purchases available.
Is PredictPal free?
PredictPal is free to download, with no in-app purchases.
Which has better reviews, Manifold Markets or PredictPal?
PredictPal is rated higher. Manifold Markets averages 4.5 out of 5 from 145 ratings, while PredictPal averages 5.0 from 1 ratings.
Do Manifold Markets or PredictPal have ads?
Neither Manifold Markets nor PredictPal shows ads.

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